Interview with professor of economic history Giulio Sapelli, which unlike most of my colleagues are very interested in this and not the politically correct. Free themes: the strength of Brazil, argentinizzazione Italy, the Belgian rider, the undervaluation of the Chinese threat, the dullness of managerialism ...
For the general public is best known for the "headless chick" Striscia la Notizia carp and reported to Rula Jebreal, then assistant to Santoro. Definition abrasive so politically correct times, but not surprising for those who know and love Giulio Sapelli spirit. Professor of Economic History, as well as a writer, a columnist for the Corriere della Sera and a life spent around the world between universities and companies such as Olivetti, Eni, Telecom. We met him in his study at the Enrico Mattei Foundation of which he is currently a researcher emeritus, several years after the last university lecture that we had the good fortune to attend.
The crisis yet is gripping the developed countries does not seem to have touched the large emerging countries, the BRICs. In Italy, especially in China and India under which Russia is mentioned in a crisis of supply of gas or to the friendship between Putin and Berlusconi. Even though the less said about Brazil, the nation that, despite everything, there is closer culturally.
"Brazil is definitely the most reliable of the 4, but it is also India to a lesser extent. Brazil is the most stable primarily because it had 20 years of good policy, based on the Cardoso government, my colleague in Paris at the time of military dictatorship. Lula went on in that groove with the advantage of not get behind a party with 5% as Cardoso, but by 25%. Another advantage is that the dictatorship, though bloody, also had some merit, as the great boost given to the aviation industry today is among the best in the world. Lula has also institutionalized the landless movement, creating a small middle class and peasants, realizing that it saves you from the negative effects of repayment of all these people in urban environments. In addition it is a major exporting country and also has huge oil reserves. Finally, it is becoming the stabilizing force in Latin America. "
not forget that in a few years World Cup and Olympic Games will ...
"Yes, and the world will notice more and more of the greatness of this country, we think, for example, its architects ... But another fundamental factor to determine if a South American country's future is to see if the middle class believes and invests in their own country, in Brazil this is contrary to Argentina where the rich take the money in Miami, where they had the misfortune of Peronism . Suffice it to see what happened a few years ago with Kirchner that they wanted even more taxing exporters of meat to finance unproductive government expenditure. Despite all the problems I really love Argentina and I'd like to traverse there my old age, is a country of great people, great intellectuals, even the Jewish world and there is a great vitality, as those workers who have shown they wanted to reopen the factories after the default instead of being satisfied of the check of unemployment. "
And to think that at the beginning of the 50s was a country that had a per capita income levels of France, but from that moment on, not decades of substantial growth.
"fault first of Peronism, a true syphilis, who has clashed with the ruling classes of the financial world and against the peasant bourgeoisie. Besides this there are changes in international trade was that they favored. And finally, the radicalism, a movement of social democratic mold Europe has also shown a president like Alford, failed to become hegemonic. "
About Argentina, I am reminded of the views of Luke Ricolfi the Italian situation, which according to him is experiencing" a slow argentinizzazione "more that the risk of style drift in Czechoslovakia.
"The northern and central Italy are a great column in the so-called" European Germany ", ie a region that starts from the manufacturing core of the continent and which extends to cover part of our territory. I believe that fiscal federalism, especially the state, will lead the way for secession because it is likely to drift to the south, under the control of the territory and not a lack of monopoly of force by the state, but it is also true that if you do not federalism then drag the north south into the abyss, as says Ricolfi , and then secession would also be beneficial. All this, however, is a phenomenon that goes beyond the Northern League in the sense that our identities are pre-unification remained the strongest single identity. However it must be said that federalism historically created to unite, but this holds true in countries that are born as a federal United States and Germany, not from us. "
A phenomenon that seems to have set in motion in Belgium.
"Yes, even there the Flemish and Walloons are divided, but what keeps them together, most of the monarchy, is called Brussels quell'idrovora of money, full of officials who serve no purpose except to rob the pockets of the Europeans. Belgium took the first saprophytic colony Congo, now from these European institutions, but there is a big difference: the Congolese had more dignity. "
Turning to the BRIC worth talking about the last letter, China . agree with those who argue that democracy will come as a result of enrichment of the population, or instead will be its model of capitalism authoritarian corrupt Western democracies?
"China is a dictatorship that is part of the great tradition of the communist regimes which we saw in the last century. Right now I'm in a phase of the NEP (New Economic Policy) memory of Lenin, with the "little" difference that the Soviet Union was not a country of nearly 1.2 billion people. Obviously there are differences, and even in China there are different views within its nomenklatura, but an important fact is that the Chinese dictatorship is a military-style while the Bolsheviks had a mixed character. The catastrophic mistake, the days of the Clinton era, was to to make it into the WTO, thus creating an asymmetry that is destroying some incredible economy of advanced countries and especially Democrats. It seems to me that China is a remake of the Soviet Union with the case of Nazism, and then be a danger to civilization. "
As if America has unwittingly created a monster ...
"I very concerned about the removal of U.S. West, it is significant that Hillary Clinton has made the first trip to China and not in Europe. A strategic mistake them, but ours, which is likely to pay dear. However, the social conflicts in China are rising despite a fierce repression and I think that will not go very far: they have a great shortage of skilled workers and companies and the banking system are not as healthy as they want to make it appear. They have a great need for know-how and most of their exports are made by American and European multinationals working there. Although their statistics are false economy in my opinion, if they were true should consume five times the electricity they consume, so it's a bit 'difficult to discuss in a scientific way of their economy. But I'm certainly a great power and represent a new form of imperialism in an area that is becoming increasingly important as Asia. "
According to many economists, China is not doing nothing but taking a policy mercantilist exchange rate of the yuan artificially low.
"Well, but it's not at all surprising. It is a ploy to some extent also by the Soviet Union that was a little 'what I wanted to not making the ruble convertible and maneuvering the wealth derived from oil that crosses the trend of the international price of crude appreciation of the ruble. The real underlying issue is that we do not want to wage war against them, 100 years ago would have done. The big opportunity is lost and there was the Opium War, China would then be divided due, but unfortunately the great Powers would not. "
So do not believe China is not an aggressive ...
"No, absolutely not. I go there often in Australia and the Labour Party, which after all are more anti-China conservatives, are convinced that China will eventually invade Australia. How did the Japanese, for that matter. My critics say they have not done anything against Taiwan, but only because I am not ready yet ... is a fact then that we are increasingly developing a nationalist thinking. I believe the future will be very interesting. "
Meanwhile in Africa, the strategy of Chinese settlement seems to have supplanted that tied the American's economic exchanges on issues related to human rights and democracy in those countries. They may not believe in it and maybe even a bit 'of hypocrisy, but at least gave the impression of trying.
"Well, if we think that the Chinese exports even Laogai forced labor by the famous ... The picture that emerges is that of a new kind of colonial power that has in excess of labor that the state uses exporting slaves to build infrastructure in Africa and that is why I speak of the Nazi economy. China is not realizing that what Hitler wanted to do with the Slavs. The shocking thing is that everything in front of the Western capitalist ruling classes democratic and remain fascinated. "
About National I was impressed in an article in the issuance of the definition of" managerialism "which drew a sort of parallel with the Nazi mindset.
"is the ideology of the various Mckinsey, Bain and so on. advocating a plate without thinking historical perspective, without complexity, and anti-a-humanistic. Their vision is the PowerPoint slides to the square and persons treated as commodities. There is thus a lowering of the general cultural level, which is part of managerialism, which is infecting the direction of big business and not only.. "
Andrea Ferrari, exclusive Indiscreet
0 comments:
Post a Comment